Guest Post: This Week’s Masterchef Odds
While the recap is coming and I can neither confirm or deny whether it has a saucy dream about one of the judges, here is this week’s odds to discuss who has gone up and down in the cooking pack.
Thanks Paul – Over to you:
$3.20 – Audra
$5.50 – Mindy
$10 – Amina, Kylie
$13 – Andy, Alice
$17 – Debra, Julia
$21 – Jules, Ben
$26 – Wade
$51 – Andrew, Beau
And for a bit of variety:
$1.90 – Audra or Mindy
$1.90 – Anybody else
$1.12 – Female Winner
$5.00 – Male Winner
The top two have cleared out and they look the clear standouts at this stage in the competition. Jules has dropped out from being a contender with some weak dishes coming from her the last week. If there is a smoky, it could be Alice who so far has seemed to fly under the radar.
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51 comments
Didn’t someone comment that Ben coming back during a production break must mean he’s lasted to the later stages of the competition? I would say Ben and Andy are probably the strongest guys. Beau, despite cooking a good chicken something in raid-people’s-homes challenge, I think is still very lower-middle pack. The guys are so weak this season. To compensate, I think we should let them cook shirtless.
Except for Andrew…
I’m still going with Amina – that’s if the judges can get past their favouritism.
Lol Jess re shirtless except for Andrew!
Agree with Dunbi, I am still going with Amina. MC is a reality show, not the best cook wins. That’s what I learnt from the past 3 seasons. MC is all about the brand. The winners have to be able to sell/represent the brand & have the seal of approval from their sponsors. They may not be the best cooks of their seasons but Julie, Adam & Kate give out a friendly, non-controversial vibe. (although BDD may have different view on Julie lol).
You can also detect the diversity of the winners & their cookbooks: Julie (family budget friendly meals); Adam (Asian); Kate (Desserts). Are they going to choose another dessert queen to be the winner this year & release another dessert cookbook? Base on this reason, I reckon Kylie & Julia have zero chance of winning.
Do they want another Asian winner (Audra) or someone who specialises in Asian flavours (Mindy)? I doubt so. Too soon to have another Asian winner/cookbook.
If they are looking for diversity, Amina is a good candidate. Middle Eastern cuisine is all the rage at the moment and she is backed up by adequate cooking knowledge & skills & very well liked by majority of the viewers.
Looking at the patterns, an underdog will always go far in the competition to send out the positive message one can learn a lot of skills & gain a lot of experience from their MC ‘journey’. Callum is a good example. From custard disaster to the final 2. An inspiration to all young adults.
One or two sub standard contestants will also go far in the competition just to create more talking points – Sam, Dani, Ellie. More talks, more publicity.
I am also predicting one of three front runners (Anima, Mindy & Audra) will get a Marion treatment at some stage of the conpetition to create controversy & drama. It happened in all seasons. Poh vs Julie, Marion vs Aaron, Jay vs Ellie.
Jess – I am waiting for another beach/surf cooking challenge. They did make Hayden show off his six packs. So fingers crossed your wishes will come true.
it doesnt matter who wins at the end, not so care any more . just enjoying watching it , it seems much better than s3 indeed.
looking forward to seeing MC all stars , whoohoo =]
Gee EH, you sure seem to be covering off all the bases there with your conspiracy theory.
So it could be an Asian winner, a female winner, a male winner, an Anglo winner or a middle eastern cuisine winner.
About the only person who you have ruled out as not winning is George’s pet dog !!!!
And seriously, if they were going to choose winners based on marketability, then I think they could have done just slightly better than Adam and Kate of recent seasons.
Its a competition. Upsets happen from time to time just like any competition. Black Caviar nearly lost last week. Its not a conspiracy. Its just the nature of competition.
From a marketability point of view Audra would be a poster girl for MChef this season IMO.
Am hoping to see Amina and Deb in top 3……….
Was really on the Mindy bandwagon from the get-go, but I think she needs to mix it up from the Asian inspired dishes….
Paul – lol I think you missed my point. I stated Amina has the highest chance of winning & I gave reasons to back up my pick & why I ruled out the rest. I mentioned some underdogs will go far in the competition but didn’t say they will win. Hey, it is just a healthy debate, nothing personal.
Would love to hear your opinion on who are more marketable than Adam & Kate?
Well from Season 2, if it came down to marketability then it would easily be Marion. An absolute marketer’s dream. Well spoken, experience with the media, attractive – ticks every single box.
Alana and Hayden from Season 3 were miles ahead of the rest (marketability wise). In fact, if you were to prescribe to a conspiracy theory then you would think they would have let Hayden win. Different type of winner, appeals to spenders (20-35 females) and TV friendly.
It’s not a competition because the alleged rules are not applied consistently…it’s more of a game show/popularity contest.
The judges are often judging cold food.
Don’t compare the Ma$terchef experience to Black Caviar please, when it’s more like Fine Cotton.
Marion was a frump, Paul. Just my opinion but I’m not a mouthpiece for $hine.
MCA is packaged as entertainment – not a competition. If it was a legitimate competition, the 3 team challenge on Wednesday night would not have been set up the way it was – placing some contestants at a distinct disadvantage.
I hope Amina wins, she seems to be a very nice person and friendly to everyone in the house. She is something different and would be very marketable in my opinion. Audra will probably be runner up.
Paul – Yes, Marion was the national sweetheart, everyone’s favourite, judges’ pet. The publicity generated by her shock elimination outweighs her marketability. The ‘Marion moment’ was a show stopper, a ratings gold and a brilliant, calculated move by the producers. Just my opinion or you can call it a ‘conspiracy theory’.
Agree Hayden & Alana are pretty faces but where is Alana a year later? I doubted Hayden’s marketability. Did anyone pick up his travel+food show idea? No.
If 20-35 are the target audience for MC type of family orientated, amatar cooking show, the 4-ingredients empire built by 2 amatar cooks (the 2 Queensland suburban mums turned millionairs ) would not have flourished with a further seven/eight cookbooks, TV Shows, DVDs, cookware, iApps, a huge social media following as well as international publishing and production deals.
Why do you think they let Kate win over Billy (the dessert queen of season 3) in the controversial dessert challenge (taste triumphs over visual)? Another calculated move by the producer to crown her as the family dessert queen? At that point of the competition, no one would have thought if she won, she would release a family dessert cookbook besides those orchestrated the show.
“At that point of the competition, no one would have thought if she won, she would release a family dessert cookbook besides those orchestrated the show. ”
Are you kidding? It was obvious from her very first entry in the competition and that bloody retor coffee cake she made that she was going to do homey desserts and cakes if she won.
retro!
I thought Kate’s dream during the “competition” was to open a bed and breakfast somewhere, understanding that she would have been forced at gunpoint to release a victory cookbook in Ma$terchef’s own image after she “won”.
I know her thang was sweets…but I’m a diabetic.
You guys are missing the true winners of this show… Gary, George and Matt Preston. They win 100% of the time. ;p
Jowl$y keeps his friends close…but his enemas closer.
I thought we might have managed to get rid of Amina this week – for some reason I have just started hoping for her elimination. It’s not that she doesn’t seem nice or capable or anything, I just never want to eat anything she cooks.
If Andrew makes it through this week it will be a miracle, I feel like he was carried a bit by this team this week and benefited from “not being Deb” with the way the picks fell. Still, he’s probably the most entertaining “character” on the show and I hope he sticks around a while longer.
My wife and I were both extremely bummed when Kate won last season. She was our candidate of choice for elimination since the early weeks of the competition. Just so boring.
Afterwards, when we heard she refused to show respect to the Da Lai Lama because he wasn’t a Christian religious leader, I felt vindicated. I don’t believe in any religion, but since when did showing respect hurt anyone? What a bitch.
Korean food – yum. Middle Eastern food – yum.
I’d not only eat the stuff that Amina makes, but would probably pay for it. The vast majority of the others – with the exception of Audra and perhaps Debra and Mindy, on a dish-by-dish basis though – would have to pay me.
planb – I don’t remember any memorable desserts she made after that coffee cake. More Maggie Beer’s type of country/homey food. Remember the perfect roast quail with garlic custard that sealed her victory?
I hope Tregan didn’t think she was going to release a 100 ways with raisin cookbook If she won.
EH I’m with you. Amina with her knowledge of Egyptian and Korean food would be able to write a book that is different from all the ones from the other past winners. She is articulate and has a sense of humor, both necessary for promotion of the book.
I like Amina’s cooking. Hope she can win and I may even buy her cookbook. I did buy Adam’s cookbook and I like it. Didn’t buy Julie or Kate’s cookbook. Kate’s cookbook is just another Women Weekly cookbook.
Out of all the contestants left, I would definitely want Amina’s cookbook the most. Her style of cooking and cuisine is very interesting. And while I do also love Mindy and Audra, I think they are very similar to Poh.
There are at least five hours worth of Ma$terchef Special Encores on Eleven tonight, if every night of the week isn’t enough for some.
Cookbooks, cookbooks, cookbooks!~That seems to be the fate of many of the finalists in Masterchef…..but honestly how many people now days actually buy cookbooks which aren’t on the bargain table..and how many of us actually cook any of the recipes? Do we just like looking at the “pretty pictures?” Now days if I want a specific recipe I just hop online..and the best thing is it’s free.!
Because the prize for winning Masterchef is $100,000 cash & a cookbook deal. It is obligatory for the winner to publish a cookbook and it is for MC to make sure the cookbook sells to maintain the brand power & the continuity success of the show. Cookbook is not the cash-cow for MC but they want them to be the best sellers for the credibility of the show. Hence, the marketability of the winner cookbooks is extremely important. Julie Goodwin’s winner cookbook was #1 best selling cookbook of the year. They slashed the price so low to push to achieve it. You could buy Adam’s winner cookbook at half price on the day it was released at Big W.
If the cookbook deal is not part of the winning prize, it will be a different story. Example – MKR. They don’t have to pick the winners that can sell cookbook.
This is an interesting post winning interview with Kate:
http://tvweek.ninemsn.com.au/blog.aspx?blogentryid=856918&showcomments=true
Her first obligation after winning MC? Not persuing her food dream but to work on her cookbook.
When asked what will be the first thing she would cook when she got home, she said lamb cutlet, not coffee cake or other sweet desserts. You would think a sincere dessert queens like Julia & Kylie would answer cupcakes or doughnuts lol
The Ma$terchef juggernaut would have underlings whose sole function is to drive around to Big W’s buying cookbooks by the score.
The best amata cooks in Australia are now suddenly squeezing out the best selling cookbooks.
$hine are dragging the chain with the merchandising. Where are the DVD’s , cravats, fake mussel beards, phone apps etc? The Ma$terchef board game? Make with the gold.
Back in S2, didn’t they try to sell episodes on iTune? It has disappeared. They also endorsed a range of Junior MC cooking kits the same year. Haven’t seen anything since then, except MC magazines, winner cookbooks, and MC kitchenware:
http://m.kitchenwaredirect.com.au/Brands-M?search=MasterChef+Kitchenware+M
I think one of those boys is going to win (not Andrew) – it has been year of the tradie bloke I think as a shock outsider they will pull it off. I don’t think at this stage of the comp the winner has ever looked certain. At this stage Audra, Mindy and Amina are the favourites, I agree with EH one of those will be eliminated.
I would love to see the MCA seasons be released on DVD, I would love to rewatch Season 1 & 2 again (not so sure about S3, though, LOL) without using a truckload of bandwidth.
Ben is the only guy left I can see possibly winning. Beau and Wade aren’t bad, but they aren’t particualry amazing. Nothing needs to be said about Andrew. These past frew weeks I think Andy has proved himself to be a competent cook but we are almost at the Final 10 and he’s arguably had the least airtime out all the people left so it’s obvious he won’t win.
OMG there is a MC board game lol ping BDD:
http://networkten.com.au/shop/product.asp?proid=26492&item=Junior-MasterChef-Board-Game&ls=cat&ch=TEN&ct=Merchandise&sh=
Wonder what is in the board game. Maybe some ‘boom, boom, shake the room’ ? or lick the spoon when you throw a six??
You are always right, EH – except when you are wrong!
“Because the prize for winning Masterchef is $100,000 cash & a cookbook deal. It is obligatory for the winner to publish a cookbook and it is for MC to make sure the cookbook sells to maintain the brand power & the continuity success of the show. Cookbook is not the cash-cow for MC but they want them to be the best sellers for the credibility of the show. Hence, the marketability of the winner cookbooks is extremely important. Julie Goodwin’s winner cookbook was #1 best selling cookbook of the year. They slashed the price so low to push to achieve it. You could buy Adam’s winner cookbook at half price on the day it was released at Big W. ”
Masterchef don’t publish the winner’s cookbook. The publishing house that does it, Random House Australia, obviously wants to turn a tidy profit on it – and they do.
Julie’s sold over a hundred thousand copies. In the Australian book world, this is huge.
The cheap deals made with Big W, Kmart, etc are standard for all sorts of books, not some special way of flogging off MC winners’ books.
Kate’s “first obligation after winning MC? Not persuing her food dream but to work on her cookbook. ”
Her food dream was to open a B & B – still hasn’t persued it, as far as I know.
The winner has to get onto the cookbook straight away for it to be publishable in a reasonable time. There is a very short lead time with these books, and there is no way it can be produced and printed by usually May the following year unless people get straight onto it. It is also a very costly process for the publishers, who bear the brunt of any losses – not Masterchef.
It is a debate. I voice my opinions. So can you. But to be as sacastic as the first sentence of your comment, this is getting a bit personal, planb. Is it because of Sue N?
I wasn’t voicing my opinions, I was reporting some facts, as best I know them. Facts are not opinions. It’s not a debate. I made a joking comment, but clearly humour is not allowed around you. Okay.
Thanks for the ‘facts’.
It comes with double smileys.
I have never made sorbet-Beau
I chuckled at the same thing Jill, it was perfect for EH’s list!
Lol! I was watching the block final. Haven’t gotten to the part yet. Does Beau know what is sorbet? lol
Very happy for Kylie winning tonight.
It must be time for Andrew to leave. Week in, week out he disappoints. If Amina leaves over him, I’ll scream.
Hey Morgan – we sorta dont comment on the outcome of the latest epeisode until RR posts it – we here in Perth have yet to see the show (2hr time diff) but I get notified with email if someone posts on an older episode – just a heads up!
George is so ‘in love’ with Kylie this year like he was with Ellie last year.
He picks one pet every year. Claire, Ellie & Kylie.
Yes, I watched The Block Finale, too and the main bits of Ma$terchef. Be a lot of reality tv fodder out there forgetting their culinary dream and getting passionate about renovating right about now.
I’m watching Gabriel Gate make a shockolat trit wis razz berries on ze Tour de France.
Gary seems quite keen on ponytail flicking Kylie, too.
BDD-3 weeks of late nights for me as well. I hope I could stay awake for the whole Tour.
Plenty to keep us up late for the next 6 weeks I reckon. Besides the Tour, there’s the tennis on 7, cricket on Gem (right now) and the Olympics to follow in 3 weeks.
Is Gabriel Gateau still around? Bought some nice pots he endorsed a few years back..still going strong..great quality.
Sioux Denim – Ah, sorry about that. I’ll make sure it won’t happen again.
That was a pretty tough challenge last night, vegemite/choc, cauli/choc, etc etc. Impressed with some of the ideas they came up with (avo icecream for instance). At least we saw 10 tastings (not Ben, Andy nor Audra) and we knew automatically they were safe as they hardly got any camera time. Julia’s idea with her macaroons really inspired Heston as well as lots of other dishes made, well except for Andrews! lol
Amina and Beau’s looked pretty average too, so I think the judges got it right this time. Looking forward to the pressure test.
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