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Guest Post: Masterchef Australia’s – The Odds – The Top Ten

The competition is heating up now we have a top ten. Amina has given her opinion about the Top Ten in the Herald Sun. However I think Paul’s assessment of the Top Ten is more on the money. After this week I thought Kylie might be a winner, but will agree with some commenters on this blog that I can’t see a dessert person winning two years in a row.

Over to Paul:

$3.50 – Audra

$5.00 – Mindy, Kylie

$9.00 – Andy, Julia

$15.00 – Alice

$21.00 – Ben, Wade, Debra

$41.00 – Beau

Final Ten Formguide

Audra – Never puts up a bad dish and seems to be the best all round cook. Questionable sometimes in team challenges and will losing Amina impact her ?

Mindy – Probably not as talented as Audra but a strong competitor. Desserts could be a weakness.

Kylie – Seems to be thriving as the competition goes on. Great in team challenges. Not as consistent as Mindy & Audra but probably has more scope to put up a really outstanding dish if required.

Andy – Doesn’t seem to do anything wrong, but not sure how he would go in a one on one challenge against either of the top 3 girls.

Julia – Best competitor left. Extremely focused and that could carry her a long way.

Alice – Popular but frankly I haven’t really seen enough of her cooking !!!!

Ben – Don’t think he’s good enough to win it all.

Wade – Improving and determined but not enough variety in my opinion.

Debra – Great cook but her temperement is debatable and I can see that letting her down sooner rather than later.

Beau – Good bloke to have a beer with but can’t see him winning.

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51 comments

1 Georgie { 07.06.12 at 10:16 am }

Good to see Julia moving up in the stakes.

2 Jon { 07.06.12 at 10:21 am }

Going from not just me, but just about anyone who has used the #masterchefau hashtag on twitter, I thought more along the lines of:

Julia – Most competitive, if not the best competitor left, and with the most misguidedly high opinion of her own abilities. Extremely focused; would give the Cyberdyne Systems T-1000 a run for its money. Could win if the final rounds consist of cupcakes every time. Fires lasers from her eyes when someone else is invited to taste anything in a masterclass.

Alice – Not at all popular and frankly I have really seen too much of her talking!!!!

3 brain dead dave { 07.06.12 at 10:25 am }

About time, got on Julia at 25′s.

4 EH { 07.06.12 at 11:10 am }

Andy for the win!!! He better be ready for this:

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_TzBuA1rydv4/TDz2qXJoXDI/AAAAAAAAAbk/9GjJ1Z5gOXM/s1600/run+legs.jpg

P/S The link is totally SFW (safe for work), no virus or not spam.

5 EH { 07.06.12 at 11:33 am }

Ok, a more serious comment. Audra is back on my good book again after the team challenge showed that she isn’t a pro. Agree with Paul she is the best all-round cook but do they want another Asian to win so soon after Adam? Audra’s food is very similar to Adam & Poh. That’s my only fear.

Still have no clue which males have the highest chance of winning. Most of them were invisible until last two weeks.

6 Sioux Denim { 07.06.12 at 11:50 am }

Gee, looking at that list its hard to really pick a winner……..agreed EH, Audra’s total lack of leadership showed me that the catering business she runs mustn’t be too big – therefore that may be the reason she was allowed on the show.

7 Jon { 07.06.12 at 12:00 pm }

Friend of a friend – Audra’s catering business is Audra, her home kitchen and that’s about it. Mind you, I think the lack of leadership the other night was at least partly a case of someone actively sabotaging every stage and every decision like a petulant child. They would have been better off to tell her to get out and come back when it’s all over and the five of them would have thrived.

8 Culinary Boner { 07.06.12 at 12:01 pm }

Guess I’m back to rooting for Audra

9 Merv { 07.06.12 at 12:04 pm }

Regardless of how small her home catering business is, it is still a bsuiness, and should therefore have an ABN, etc. Perhaps you can reassure on that front, too, Jon? I am sure the ATO would be interested.

10 Jon { 07.06.12 at 12:15 pm }

On the ABN etc. side, I have no idea – had never had a reason to ask. I do know she had (still has – just on a leave of absence) a full time job up until the start of Masterchef (to the best of my knowledge, filming is all finished, but I have very little idea how well she went) and the catering has been very much a thing on the side up to now.

11 EH { 07.06.12 at 12:38 pm }

Audra’s home catering business could have been registered as a sole trader instead of company.

A sole trader is a single person running a business under their own name. Often a small business will start out as a sole trader, and later, when the business grows, register as a company to take advantage of a lower tax rate and less personal legal liability.

You can search the ABR but you need to know Audra official name. No sure whether Maurice is her maiden or hubby name…. Etc.

12 Jess { 07.06.12 at 1:02 pm }

@Merv
Oh, if only taxation were that simple…
There are quite a few tests to differentiate a business from a hobby, and it might not be said that Audra is “in the business” of catering. You’d have to judge if there’s a viably commercial character to the catering; is there an expectation to profit from the activity;the intention of these activities; is there repetition; how similar is it to other businesses in the industry; what is the scale of the enterprise and is it consistent with the industry; has it been conducted in the manner of a business (bookkeeping, bank accounts, receipts, invoices, licenses, etc.), and a whole bunch of tests.

It’s similar to the question of what is the difference between some guy who occasionally sells his second-hand items on eBay, and someone who is “in the business” of selling on eBay.

I don’t know enough about Audra’s catering activities or the norms of the catering industry to make a judgment. However, as far as I can tell, there is no ABN linked to “Audra’s Gourmet Kitchen.”

13 sofi { 07.06.12 at 1:16 pm }

If Audra’s activities are classified as a hobby activity then it is not a business !! so it means not assessable income , no need to call ATO.

Guys, there is a big diff betwn “carry on business” and hobby .
say biz plan,size, strucutre, capital, time etc.
call ATO137286 agent line if you want more info.

14 sofi { 07.06.12 at 1:20 pm }

@Jess, ditto. apparently you are an accountant too :-)

15 kess { 07.06.12 at 1:54 pm }

Don’t think any of the former front runners – Audra/Mindy etc will win this. They peaked a few weeks back and will fall by the wayside – already sick of looking at Mindy’s asian bowl food, same with Audra.
They are starting the évolving contestant’edit…….the winner is going to be somebody that comes from behind or the middle of the pack, Beau & Wade……….one of those types will get to top 2.
And ahhh, just when will they address the Amina immunity pin issue? Imagine Mindy winning using that pin Amina won her………………..

16 Morgan { 07.06.12 at 2:12 pm }

My assessment on the Top 10:

Audra – The only contestant left to not cook a bad dish. A very strong and consistent cook, but not a good team leader.

Mindy – Also a very strong and consistent cook, and a great team leader. She also had an immunity pin so she’s guarunteed another week more than the rest of the contestants (except Kylie). My ideal pick for the winner this year, now that Amina is gone. I’ll be shocked if she dosen’t make Final 3.

Kylie – Has become a frontrunner for the past few weeks, one of the best dessert specialists this show has seen. Is also versatile and can cook good savoury dishes. She’s also proven herself as a good team leader. She also has an immunity pin (see Mindy).

Andy – The dark horse, IMO. He has started to shine a bit these past few weeks, performing well in the team challenges, although still not seen much in solo challenges. The strongest male contestant left, IMO.

Julia – A bit inconsistent. She also lacks verstility, often going to a dessert when she gets the chance. Still a good cook, though.

Alice – Has great customer service skills, as shown in team challenges, but we have rarely seen her cook solo. She’s also the only contestant left who has not been a team captain.

Ben – Seemed like a big contender in the beggining, but he has since piqued and is starting to flounder. He also is not versatile, and has cooked tacos at least five times already.

Wade – Like Andy, has really started to shine these past few weeks, will have to wait and see how he’ll go in Italy.

Debra – A good cook, I’ll admit, but she is IMO, the most unlikeable contestant since Aaron from S1. Would be very happy to see her leave soon. She’s just insufferable.

Beau – Has been the surprise of the season for me, has done very well to get this far, but probably won’t last much longer, as he’s the least able and interesting cook left.

17 planb { 07.06.12 at 2:44 pm }

“Audra – The only contestant left to not cook a bad dish. ”

She co-cooked the flavourless botarga (?) pie that landed herself, Andrew and Dalvinda in the pressure test, that had Dalvinda eliminated. Audra was insistent they not use a lot of the stinky stuff in their pie. But that would be Andrew’s fault, probably!

18 Morgan { 07.06.12 at 2:53 pm }

planb – Ah, I had forgotten about the botarga pie. Yes, that would count as a bad dish.

19 easter bunny { 07.06.12 at 3:07 pm }

merv there really is no need to concern yourself over whether audra has/should have an abn. I mean really???? pretty sure the ato would be ‘interested’ in things that are based on some sort of solid evidence, not just lame speculations.

20 Jon { 07.06.12 at 3:10 pm }

planb – Yes, it would count as a bad dish, but it was a case of being the sixth choice ingredient when the other 5 all appeared edible, or at least appealing and the botarga not so much.
And why were Andrew, Audra and Dalvinder cooking with the botarga? That was because Andrew’s dish was deemed to be the worst of the 6 when they saw fit to only choose one from each table, only they didn’t exactly do that.
There was one table where they (all from memory here, so may get some names wrong, but believe the table had Andy, Ben and Beau or Sam) called Andy up with his dish, decided it was so bad that rather than award it sixth best and condemn his table to the botarga, sent him back and pulled up one of the other two so that they could actually judge Andrew’s dish the worst and ensure his team had the dud ingredient.
Q: Why not show Andrew the same courtesy and pull up Dalvinder or Audra’s dish to be judged?
A: Some of these things seem as rigged as a Florida election.

21 planb { 07.06.12 at 3:14 pm }

Yep. Andrew’s fault.

22 brain dead dave { 07.06.12 at 3:14 pm }

The ATO would be more interested in Jowl$y. He leaves plenty of solid evidence.

23 Jon { 07.06.12 at 3:28 pm }

Well, no, not really Andrew’s fault at all.
He cooked a dish that, under the rules set out by the judges at the beginning of the challenge, was not the sixth best, but probably the fifth best.
The judges, noting this and realising that would leave the Andy, Ben and Sam/Beau (or whoever) table with the botarga and therefore almost assured the eliminated contestant for the day would come from that table, allowed a substitute.

I was assuming at the time that it was their way of getting rid of Andrew, but it turns out that his shitty terrine that day trumped something on Dalvinder’s dish and she was gone.

24 Morgan { 07.06.12 at 4:45 pm }

I still don’t know how Andrew survived with that terrine of his.

25 Georgie { 07.06.12 at 5:00 pm }

Amina is still getting votes to win MC lol! Is this cooking cryogenics or something – like she might be raised from the dead one day and be back in the competition?

26 Maz { 07.06.12 at 9:00 pm }

@sofi-hate to be pedantic but the number you provided is for tax agents only not the general public http://www.ato.gov.au/content/downloads/tp00110309.pdf
The number to call is 132866 http://www.ato.gov.au/businesses/content.aspx?doc=/content/66884.htm&pc=001/003/039/001/008&mnu=43567&mfp=001/003&st=&cy=

27 Sheng_huang { 07.06.12 at 10:14 pm }

What are the chances of a wild card being played and Amina coming back? Thoughts?

28 EH { 07.06.12 at 10:20 pm }

Zero. Too many contestants, too little time.

29 Georgie { 07.06.12 at 10:23 pm }

Masterchef la conversazione sta diventando così noioso e deprimente.

30 brain dead dave { 07.06.12 at 10:43 pm }

Mi sto stancando di questi dilettanti e dei loro sogni culinari, Georgie.

Et la tre porcellini. Et “Guancey”

31 Georgie { 07.06.12 at 10:57 pm }

Tante persone prendono sul serio questa merda ho paura di fare un commento per paura di deludere qualcuno bdd!

32 Jon { 07.06.12 at 10:59 pm }

Ah sì, il sogno di cibo, il viaggio di Masterchef, il fatto che stasera si stanno cucinando per la loro stessa vita.

(ok, this was translated online, so it could be gramatically unsound. But it was exactly the same from two of them, so they either use the same engine or it’s roughly correct)

33 Suziekue { 07.06.12 at 10:59 pm }

Je suis triste la seule personne avec une vraie personnalité vient de se démarré. Oh, et je suis malade de voir les cuire Trevalla, et concocté des aliments fabriqués à partir de mille ingrédients que dans le placage en place ne serait pas nourrir une mouche mars dans un bon jour.

34 Sofi { 07.06.12 at 11:38 pm }

@maz, I did say agent line, never mind =] saved that FKC pdf (fast key code ) thx.

Has anyone noted who is with deb in team challenge in Italy ?? Not Audra , mindy , beau for sure…… GraCias :-) heehee

35 littlepetal { 07.06.12 at 11:44 pm }

In one of the challenge, I can see Ben with Deb

36 brain dead dave { 07.06.12 at 11:49 pm }

Ben costringerà Deb per cucinare tacos. Ben tatuaggi stasera sembrava piuttosto scadente.

37 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 12:37 am }

è ben fatta un tatuaggio di un taco?

38 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 10:52 am }

The top 10 – off to Italy and certain gastronomic-enteritis
Alice – Louis the fly (bdd-ism)
Andy – he’s handy dandy eye candy
Audra – catering and Koala hugging (Fides-ism) services
Beau – token bogan (Steve-o-ism)
Ben – the tattooed Tassie taco teacher
Debra – the lonely mouse that roared
Julia – über gal (lulu-ism) – I will not bend stooge
Kylie – George’s little pony
Mindy – forever pinned under the weight of unfair immunity
Wade – his eyebrows have their own postcode (Lesley-ism)

39 brain dead dave { 07.07.12 at 11:05 am }

$hine have got the full palette to work with Deb this week. Will she be old, a bitch, an old bitch or go all out for an old bitch with menopause?

Buono lavoro, Georgie.

40 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 11:17 am }

Thanks bdd. There’ll be a lockdown in Italy this week for the alimentary challenge victims – not the elimination challenge victims.

I’m working on a RIP list now.

41 brain dead dave { 07.07.12 at 11:27 am }

Jowl$y: “So did you think your culinary dream would end in the toilet of a cheap Italian bordello with you sweating ,writhing and wishing you were dead?”

“Lost in a Roman wilderness of pain” ~The Doors.

42 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 11:35 am }

Rofl bdd, too funny. Oh how I wish it had been The Stooge Trio singing at the Ceramic Bowl in Italy, with encores aplenty.

43 brain dead dave { 07.07.12 at 11:39 am }

Because the other amatas have more or less already quarantined Deb or if she’s done it herself , it might work to her favour not to be around the other huggers and sqealers so much when the big G hits.

The Italian for Jowl$y is “Guancey” , as far as I can see.

Guancey~ “So do you think you’re going home tonight?”

Amata~ “Not unless this toilet has wings, Guancey”

44 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 11:54 am }

Yes isolation is the answer to a lot of problems involving society – hope it works for her.

I looked up ‘guancey’ the other night when you used it and found ‘extravagant’ – so I thought that worked pretty well with the rest of your comment too.

45 brain dead dave { 07.07.12 at 12:00 pm }

Guanciale , I’ve just discovered is a favourite Italian dish. Pig’s jowl.

Jowl$y should take care that he doesn’t end up in a slaughterhouse over there with the guances he’s packing..

46 Georgie { 07.07.12 at 12:09 pm }

The feast of the beast – guaniciale with spew-mante ‘in una ciotola’.

47 Chris W { 07.08.12 at 12:21 am }

Having been concerned with all the male crying on MC, I find myself with wet eyes from reading your one-liners, BDD. Keep ‘em coming!

48 Fifette { 07.08.12 at 8:23 am }

When the judges announced the trip to Italy, Alice leapt onto Julia and lifted her legs off the ground, forcing Julia to bend over and appear ridiculous as she supported Alice’s weight. Sadly this is burnt into my mind.

49 Dunbi { 07.08.12 at 11:06 am }

I’ve misunderstood the poll. I thought it was asking who is my favourite contestant, not who I thought would win.
Ich bin ein dummer kopf!

50 Samantha { 07.10.12 at 4:01 pm }

I base mine not on their food, but on their marketability.

Audra – Another Mum and another Asian (her food style, not her ethnicity) chef. Marketable.

Mindy – Pretty and gay. Shows the program as being modern and tolerant. Will appeal to liberals but will put off a lot of conservatives.

Kylie – She’s pretty. Reminds me of Julia Schofield who I am watching on tv right now. So, very marketable. (I find her a little dull, and she doesn’t get much airtime though, so maybe not on the top of their list?)

Andy – Cute. A blokey guy, so maybe appeals to the blokes?

Julia – Someone here called her a robot. She doesn’t seem to have enough personlaity for television. Not really saleable.

Alice – She’s niche marketable. She’s also been depicted as being friendly and a great face to put out the front.

Ben – He’s already proved that winning doesn’t mean that much to him, so if he wins it’s a little ridiculous.

Wade – Been shown lately to be selfish. Though I can’t be objective, because I find him unlikeable.

Debra – Has a temper and has thrown others under the bus. She’s in there for the tension.

Beau – I agree with your statement completely. And he’s not really tv friendly.

51 JJ { 07.13.12 at 8:36 am }

In the herald sun article about Amina and the Top Ten….did anyone else notice they’ve called Beau…Wade.

Yup, Wade’s on there twice and poor Beau (again I think) gets missed out.

Also on Amina’s views on them…she says something nice and a bit personal about everyone, except Debra, who she just states ‘She wants to do this, I think she could’….guessing the tension isn’t just for camera.

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